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Varea vs Anguiano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Varea
35%
Draws
45%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varea lately — more wins on the board than Anguiano.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Anguiano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Varea Clean Sheet 19%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Anguiano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
1:2
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
2:1
May 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 24 / 100
Anguiano 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varea's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Anguiano conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Varea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Anguiano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Anguiano

(Away)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)