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Varea vs Anguiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Varea Logo

Varea

0 - 0
FT
Anguiano Logo

Anguiano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Varea
35%
Draws
27%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varea lately — more wins on the board than Anguiano.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Varea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Varea Clean Sheet 20%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Anguiano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
1:2
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Varea
2:1
May 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Anguiano
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 40 / 100
Anguiano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Varea stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Varea found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Anguiano has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Anguiano
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1
Varea
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
Page 1 of 6

Anguiano

(Away)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)