Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Manero A.
35'
35'
Londono S.
42'
42'
Saenz A.
AI Match Summary
Varea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Varea lately — more wins on the board than CCD Alberite.
- Win probability leans Varea's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Varea Clean Sheet 20%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varea | CCD Alberite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 2.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CCD Alberite
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Varea
0:4
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CCD Alberite
0:0
Dec 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Varea
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Varea
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varea Compare
Top Goalscorer Manero A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Londono S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
CCD Alberite Compare
Top Goalscorer Saenz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varea 85 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varea CCD Alberite
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CCD Alberite has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Varea scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Varea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Varea VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Varea
(Home) 27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1 Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1 Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2 Oyonesa
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
24 May
Varea
0 : 2 Oyonesa
10 May
Varea
0 : 1 Oyonesa
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0 Anguiano
Page 1 of 4
CCD Alberite
(Away) 04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1 Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0 CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1 CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3 Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0 CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0 CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1 CCD Alberite
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0 CCD Alberite
21 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 2 CCD Alberite
14 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 67:19 | 76 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 80:36 | 76 |
| 3 | CD Calahorra B | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 70:34 | 67 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 69:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Varea | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 59:31 | 61 |
| 6 | Oyonesa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 46:28 | 58 |
| 7 | Casalarreina CF | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:49 | 55 |
| 8 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 9 | Berceo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Arnedo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 11 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 51:62 | 42 |
| 12 | Racing Rioja | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37:55 | 39 |
| 13 | River Ebro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Vianes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30:62 | 33 |
| 15 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:50 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Tedeon | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:61 | 30 |
| 17 | Comillas CF | 34 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 38:59 | 24 |
| 18 | CCD Alberite | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 37:103 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
