Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varea vs CF Rapid

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022
Varea Logo

Varea

5 - 0
FT
CF Rapid Logo

CF Rapid

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Varea
30%
Draws
23%
CF Rapid
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varea lately — more wins on the board than CF Rapid.
  • Model gives Varea a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varea have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Varea Clean Sheet 20%
CF Rapid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea CF Rapid
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.65 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CF Rapid
5:0
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Varea
0:5
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Varea
0:4
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CF Rapid
2:2
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CF Rapid
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 85 / 100
CF Rapid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea CF Rapid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Rapid has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Varea's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Varea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 7

CF Rapid

(Away)
01 May
Vianes
4 : 0
CF Rapid
24 Apr
CF Rapid
3 : 0
Agoncillo
14 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 2
CF Rapid
10 Apr
CF Rapid
0 : 1
Cenicero
03 Apr
Arnedo
5 : 0
CF Rapid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arnedo 30 20 8 2 62:25 68
2 Alfaro 30 21 4 5 65:30 67
3 Anguiano 30 18 8 4 61:22 62
4 Varea 30 17 8 5 59:36 59
5 Casalarreina CF 30 17 6 7 55:34 57
6 CDFC La Calzada 30 17 5 8 43:23 56
7 Oyonesa 30 14 3 13 39:33 45
8 CD Calahorra B 30 13 5 12 58:44 44
9 Agoncillo 30 10 6 14 28:41 36
10 Haro Deportivo 30 9 8 13 37:34 35
11 River Ebro 30 10 3 17 36:48 33
12 Berceo 30 9 4 17 40:47 31
13 Vianes 30 8 7 15 42:57 31
14 Yague 30 8 7 15 38:53 31
15 CF Rapid 30 4 4 22 24:88 16
16 Cenicero 30 1 2 27 10:82 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 (Play Offs)