Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Tamayo S.
64'
64'
Vega S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Varea haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Moralo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Varea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Varea Clean Sheet 20%
Moralo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varea | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 18 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Varea vs Moralo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varea Compare
Top Goalscorer Tamayo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vega S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Moralo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varea 36 / 100
Moralo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varea Moralo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varea found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Varea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Moralo has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.
Scoring Trends
Varea VS Moralo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Varea
(Home) 24 May
Varea
0 : 2 Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1 Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1 Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0 Anguiano
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Varea
0 : 2 Oyonesa
10 May
Varea
0 : 1 Oyonesa
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0 Anguiano
12 Apr
Varea
3 : 1 Agoncillo
29 Mar
Varea
1 : 1 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 3
Moralo
(Away) 07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1 Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1 Don Benito
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1 Moralo
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1 Moralo
02 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2 Moralo
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
