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Stadium Background

Varea vs Oyonesa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cordovin S.
46' Event
Rivas I.
89'
Herreros J.

AI Match Summary

Oyonesa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Varea
35%
Draws
40%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Medium Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Oyonesa.
  • Oyonesa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Varea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oyonesa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Varea Clean Sheet 18%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Oyonesa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordovin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 28 / 100
Oyonesa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OYO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varea scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Oyonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Varea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Oyonesa
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
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Oyonesa

(Away)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2