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Varea vs Oyonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cordovin S.
46' Event
Rivas I.
89'
Herreros J.

AI Match Summary

Oyonesa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Varea
35%
Draws
27%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Oyonesa.
  • Varea are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Varea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oyonesa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Varea Clean Sheet 68%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Oyonesa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
1:1
May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordovin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 59 / 100
Oyonesa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varea has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varea's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Oyonesa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Oyonesa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1
Varea
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
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Oyonesa

(Away)
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1
Varea
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2