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Varea vs Vianes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Barahona A.
55' Event
Barahona A.
88' Event
Crespo U.

AI Match Summary

Varea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Varea
35%
Draws
37%
Vianes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vianes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Vianes.
  • Model gives Varea a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Varea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Varea Clean Sheet 68%
Vianes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Vianes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Vianes
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Varea
1:5
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Vianes
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Varea
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Vianes
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vianes Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 50 / 100
Vianes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Vianes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Varea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vianes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Varea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Vianes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

Vianes

(Away)
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Vianes
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)