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Varegg vs Arna-Bjornar

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 7 2015 game between Varegg and Arna-Bjornar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Varegg
20%
Draws
22%
Arna-Bjornar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varegg come out ahead of Arna-Bjornar on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Varegg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varegg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Varegg Clean Sheet 20%
Arna-Bjornar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Arna-Bjornar
Matches Played 44 37
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.84 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.02 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Arna-Bjornar vs Varegg
0:3
May 7, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Arna-Bjornar
5:3
Aug 28, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Arna-Bjornar
3:1
May 10, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Arna-Bjornar vs Varegg
1:2
Sep 15, 2012 Division 3 - Group 7
Arna-Bjornar vs Varegg
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 49 / 100
Arna-Bjornar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Arna-Bjornar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varegg found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Arna-Bjornar conceded in 86% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Varegg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Arna-Bjornar
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
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Arna-Bjornar

(Away)
22 Aug
Arna-Bjornar
0 : 1
Asane
03 Feb
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 2
Brann 2
01 May
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 6
Brann
18 Apr
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 2
Lysekloster
22 Oct
Arna-Bjornar
5 : 1
Oystese
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