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Varegg vs Fjora

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fjora in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fjora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Varegg
15%
Draws
51%
Fjora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fjora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fjora lately — more wins on the board than Varegg.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Varegg Clean Sheet 15%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Fjora
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Fjora
3:4
May 6, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Varegg
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 84 / 100
Fjora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Fjora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Varegg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fjora lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Fjora
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 8
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
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Fjora

(Away)
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
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