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Varegg vs Fjora

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fjora in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fjora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varegg
20%
Draws
38%
Fjora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fjora lately — more wins on the board than Varegg.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Fjora
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.25 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Fjora
3:4
May 6, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Varegg
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 40 / 100
Fjora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Fjora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Varegg's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Fjora
1.25 Goals Scored 2.14
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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Fjora

(Away)
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
04 Oct
Fjora
4 : 3
Askoy
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