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Varegg vs Forde

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Varegg and Forde finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Varegg
20%
Draws
51%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Forde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Varegg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Forde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.31 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Varegg
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
0:0
May 26, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
2:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
4:2
Jul 9, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 74 / 100
Forde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Forde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forde let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Varegg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Varegg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Forde
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
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Forde

(Away)
12 Sept
V. Haugesund
9 : 0
Forde
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
22 Aug
Floro
2 : 4
Forde
15 Aug
Gneist IL
1 : 2
Forde
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