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Varegg vs Lyngbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varegg in this Division 3 - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Varegg
20%
Draws
51%
Lyngbo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyngbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Lyngbo's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Varegg Clean Sheet 13%
Lyngbo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Lyngbo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Lyngbo
4:1
Jun 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
0:2
Sep 4, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
3:3
May 14, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Lyngbo
2:2
Aug 22, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Lyngbo vs Varegg
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 31 / 100
Lyngbo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Lyngbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyngbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lyngbo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Varegg found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Varegg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
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Lyngbo

(Away)
26 Oct
Lyngbo
1 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
18 Oct
Fana
2 : 1
Lyngbo
11 Oct
Lyngbo
2 : 2
OS TF
05 Oct
Lyn 2
1 : 4
Lyngbo
27 Sept
Lyngbo
4 : 2
Gneist IL
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