Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varegg vs Lysekloster

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Varegg and Lysekloster finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lysekloster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Varegg
39%
Draws
31%
Lysekloster
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lysekloster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Varegg Clean Sheet 16%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Lysekloster
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lysekloster vs Varegg
1:2
Aug 4, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Lysekloster
0:6
Apr 14, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Lysekloster vs Varegg
5:0
Oct 7, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Lysekloster
1:3
Jun 24, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Lysekloster vs Varegg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 30 / 100
Lysekloster 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Lysekloster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lysekloster conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varegg scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Varegg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Lysekloster
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
Page 1 of 6

Lysekloster

(Away)
27 Jun
Lysekloster
1 : 1
Brattvag
20 Jun
Sandviken
2 : 3
Lysekloster
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
31 May
Kvik Halden
4 : 0
Lysekloster
25 May
Lysekloster
1 : 1
Arendal
Page 1 of 6