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Varegg vs Lysekloster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Varegg and Lysekloster finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lysekloster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Varegg
30%
Draws
6%
Lysekloster
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Varegg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Varegg a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Varegg Clean Sheet 19%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Lysekloster
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lysekloster vs Varegg
1:2
Aug 4, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Lysekloster
0:6
Apr 14, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Lysekloster vs Varegg
5:0
Oct 7, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Lysekloster
1:3
Jun 24, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Lysekloster vs Varegg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 85 / 100
Lysekloster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Lysekloster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lysekloster conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varegg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Varegg scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Lysekloster
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
03 Oct
Brann 2
1 : 2
Varegg
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
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Lysekloster

(Away)
04 Oct
Lysekloster
3 : 3
Jerv
26 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Sandviken
20 Sept
Pors
2 : 0
Lysekloster
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
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