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Varegg vs Nest-Sotra 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varegg in this Division 3 - Group 7 2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Varegg
20%
Draws
36%
Nest-Sotra 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varegg lately — more wins on the board than Nest-Sotra 2.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 7 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varegg Clean Sheet 20%
Nest-Sotra 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Nest-Sotra 2
Matches Played 38 26
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Nest-Sotra 2
5:0
May 26, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Nest-Sotra 2 vs Varegg
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 67 / 100
Nest-Sotra 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Nest-Sotra 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nest-Sotra 2 conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Varegg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

Solid form: Varegg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
26 Jul
OS TF
4 : 0
Varegg
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Nest-Sotra 2

(Away)
24 Oct
Brann 2
3 : 3
Nest-Sotra 2
17 Oct
Nest-Sotra 2
0 : 4
Tertnes
12 Oct
Vadmyra
2 : 3
Nest-Sotra 2
05 Oct
Nest-Sotra 2
1 : 3
Sotra
28 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 1
Nest-Sotra 2
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