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Varese FC vs Borgaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Romero N.
62' Event
Banfi S.
90' Event
Brunod M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Varese FC and Borgaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varese FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varese FC
20%
Draws
44%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Borgaro haven't matched Varese FC's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Varese FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 68%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese FC Borgaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Borgaro
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Varese FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varese FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banfi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunod M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese FC 95 / 100
Borgaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese FC Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Varese FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Varese FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varese FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5
Pro Patria
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
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Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)