Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Varese FC play Pinerolo in the Serie D - Group A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Varese FC averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Pinerolo averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Varese FC won 1, Pinerolo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Varese FC and 1.19 for Pinerolo. This points to a Varese FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Varese FC picked up more points recently compared to Pinerolo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varese FC | Pinerolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.17 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varese FC Compare
Pinerolo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varese FC scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Pinerolo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Varese FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Pinerolo lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Chisola | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 64:37 | 72 |
| 3 | Varese FC | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49:33 | 66 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 5 | NovaRomentin | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Bra | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 47:30 | 65 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 44:37 | 63 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 42:33 | 59 |
| 9 | Albenga | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 51:33 | 58 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:33 | 52 |
| 11 | Fezzanese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 51 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 35:38 | 45 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 46:47 | 44 |
| 14 | Vogherese | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:57 | 42 |
| 15 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:52 | 41 |
| 16 | AC Chieri | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39:52 | 39 |
| 17 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 25:44 | 37 |
| 18 | Alba | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 39:63 | 37 |
| 19 | PDHA | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 20 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:67 | 22 |