Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varese U20 vs Bologna U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group B 2011/2012
Varese U20 Logo

Varese U20

1 - 1
FT
Bologna U20 Logo

Bologna U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group B 2011/2012 game between Varese U20 and Bologna U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Varese U20
15%
Draws
42%
Bologna U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varese U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bologna U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Varese U20 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varese U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varese U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Bologna U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese U20 Bologna U20
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 16 18
Draws 3 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Primavera - Group B
Bologna U20 vs Varese U20
1:2
Sep 1, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Varese U20 vs Bologna U20
2:1
Feb 25, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Bologna U20 vs Varese U20
0:2
Oct 15, 2011 Primavera - Group B
Varese U20 vs Bologna U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese U20 39 / 100
Bologna U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese U20 Bologna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 41 outings.

Varese U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Varese U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bologna U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Cesena U20
1 : 0
Varese U20
13 Apr
Varese U20
3 : 1
Cittadella U20
06 Apr
Udinese U20
0 : 2
Varese U20
03 Apr
Varese U20
0 : 2
Atalanta U20
23 Mar
Varese U20
2 : 1
Padova U20
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Bologna U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Como U20
1 : 2
Bologna U20
12 Sept
Sassuolo U20
5 : 3
Bologna U20
04 Sept
Bologna U20
0 : 3
Inter U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Bologna U20
4 : 2
Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U20 26 16 5 5 67:33 53
2 Inter U20 26 16 5 5 51:21 53
3 Varese U20 26 15 5 6 39:24 50
4 Chievo U20 26 12 11 3 43:22 47
5 Albinoleffe U20 26 13 8 5 46:31 47
6 Bologna U20 26 11 6 9 38:36 39
7 Padova U20 26 9 6 11 29:33 33
8 Udinese U20 26 9 3 14 39:54 30
9 Cittadella U20 26 8 6 12 40:57 30
10 Atalanta U20 26 8 5 13 38:40 29
11 Brescia U20 26 6 8 12 30:39 26
12 Cesena U20 26 6 6 14 24:39 24
13 Vicenza U20 26 6 5 15 39:61 23
14 Verona U20 26 6 3 17 24:57 21
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)