Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Varese.
- Varese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varese Clean Sheet 14%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 15 | 16 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Varese
3:2
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Varese
0:2
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Folgore Caratese
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varese 35 / 100
Folgore Caratese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varese Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Varese scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 67% of their last 39 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Varese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Varese
(Home) 13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0 Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1 Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1 AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0 Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1 Varese
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1 AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0 Castellazzo
08 Apr
Varese
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
25 Mar
Varese
0 : 1 Olginatese
11 Mar
Varese
0 : 2 Bra
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gozzano | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 68:25 | 82 |
| 2 | Como | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 58:27 | 81 |
| 3 | Caronnese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:30 | 74 |
| 4 | AC Chieri | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 64:37 | 71 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69:43 | 67 |
| 6 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 45:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 44:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37:46 | 50 |
| 10 | Bra | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:51 | 49 |
| 11 | Pavia | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:58 | 47 |
| 12 | Borgaro | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 35:44 | 46 |
| 13 | Olginatese | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 37:44 | 45 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:54 | 44 |
| 15 | OltrepoVoghera | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34:47 | 43 |
| 16 | Casale | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:48 | 42 |
| 17 | Varesina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 18 | Varese | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 47:49 | 40 |
| 19 | Calcio Derthona | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 25:62 | 26 |
| 20 | Castellazzo | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 32:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
