Sport Picks
Varesina vs Ciserano-Bergamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
23'
23'
Franzoni N.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Baud Banaga M.
47'
47'
Franzoni N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Varesina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Varesina on wins alone.
- Model gives Ciserano-Bergamo a 49% chance of winning this.
- Ciserano-Bergamo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Varesina, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varesina Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varesina | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Varesina
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Varesina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
4:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Varesina
2:2
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varesina Compare
Top Goalscorer Baud Banaga M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Franzoni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bottani T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varesina 24 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varesina Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Varesina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Ciserano-Bergamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Varesina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Varesina VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Varesina
(Home) 04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1 Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2 Breno
12 Apr
Varesina
0 : 1 Chievo
Page 1 of 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0 Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
