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Varesina vs Franciacorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ravasi R.
23' Event
Poesio C.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Bruccini M.

AI Match Summary

Franciacorta in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Franciacorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Varesina
30%
Draws
54%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Franciacorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Franciacorta haven't matched Varesina's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varesina Clean Sheet 20%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varesina Franciacorta
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Franciacorta
3:5
Oct 29, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Varesina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varesina Compare

Top Goalscorer Tedesco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kate T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruccini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varesina 32 / 100
Franciacorta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varesina Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Varesina scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

Franciacorta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Varesina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varesina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varesina

(Home)
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0
Pro Patria
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
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Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)