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Varesina vs Varese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Varesina Logo

Varesina

2 - 1
FT
Varese Logo

Varese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varesina in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varesina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Varesina
30%
Draws
47%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varesina have won more games recently than Varese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Varesina Clean Sheet 20%
Varese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varesina Varese
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 15
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Varesina vs Varese
2:1
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Varesina
0:0
Apr 13, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Varesina
2:0
Dec 4, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varesina vs Varese
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varesina 32 / 100
Varese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varesina Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varesina found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Varese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Varese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varesina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varesina

(Home)
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0
Pro Patria
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
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Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)