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Varginha vs Boa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wisney
43' Event
Joao Victor

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2024 game between Varginha and Boa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varginha
35%
Draws
28%
Boa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Boa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Varginha Clean Sheet 68%
Boa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Boa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Boa
1:1
May 12, 2024 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Varginha
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Boa
1:0
Jul 24, 2022 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Boa
2:1
Jun 23, 2022 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Varginha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Wisney
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Boa Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 41 / 100
Boa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Boa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varginha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Boa let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boa
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

Boa

(Away)
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 10 3 5 2 8:7 14
2 Aymores 10 3 4 3 9:9 13
3 Valeriodoce 10 2 7 1 10:8 13
4 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 6 2 14:11 12
5 Democrata SL 10 2 6 2 9:6 12
6 Tupi-MG 10 2 4 4 5:14 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 10 5 4 1 12:7 19
2 North Esporte Clube 10 6 0 4 9:6 18
3 Mamore 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Caldense 10 2 5 3 6:7 11
5 Varginha 10 1 5 4 7:10 8
6 Boa 10 1 5 4 8:13 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)