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Varginha vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Varginha and Pocos de Caldas finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Varginha
11%
Draws
9%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Varginha haven't matched Pocos de Caldas's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Varginha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Varginha
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Pocos de Caldas
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 76 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Pocos de Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Varginha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Varginha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Pocos de Caldas has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS Pocos de Caldas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santarritense84319:415
2Varginha842218:1314
3Pocos de Caldas835014:514
4Tres Coracoes83149:1510
5Figueirense Esporte Clube80176:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba851225:716
2Araxa842217:714
3Patrocinense832310:1111
4Inter de Minas82517:611
5Araguari80262:302
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO843110:515
2Manchester Futebol842210:514
3Contagem84138:513
4Boston City841311:713
5Betis80173:201