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Varhaug vs Madla IL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varhaug host Madla IL in the Division 3 - Group 4. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Varhaug at 1.72 goals for, 1.84 against; Madla IL at 2.66 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Varhaug have won 0 to Madla IL's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.25, favoring Madla IL. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varhaug
20%
Draws
40%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Madla IL lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • Madla IL are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Madla IL
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.72 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Madla IL vs Varhaug
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 18 / 100
Madla IL 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Madla IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varhaug scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

Madla IL has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Varhaug went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Madla IL
2 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
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Madla IL

(Away)
04 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 1
Brodd
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
26 Sept
Akra
0 : 6
Madla IL
21 Sept
Madla IL
1 : 1
Haugesund 2
12 Sept
Hinna
1 : 4
Madla IL
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