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Varhaug vs Staal Jorpeland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Maeland R.
77' Event
Eie D.
85' Event
Auestad R.

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varhaug
20%
Draws
40%
Staal Jorpeland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Staal Jorpeland have won more games recently than Varhaug.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Staal Jorpeland
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.72 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Staal Jorpeland
4:2
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Staal Jorpeland vs Varhaug
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Auestad R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skjaeveland V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeland R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eie D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 30 / 100
Staal Jorpeland 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Staal Jorpeland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Varhaug's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Recent resilience: Varhaug stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Staal Jorpeland
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
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Staal Jorpeland

(Away)
02 Oct
Hinna
2 : 4
Staal Jorpeland
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
21 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Viking 2
12 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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