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Varhaug vs Stabaek 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varhaug host Stabaek 2 in the Division 3 - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Stabaek 2 have shipped 2.88 goals a game lately, while Varhaug have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Varhaug slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.44 - 2.00) back Varhaug to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Varhaug
39%
Draws
31%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Stabaek 2
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 29 / 100
Stabaek 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Stabaek 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Varhaug found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (16 games).

Solid form: Varhaug remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Stabaek 2
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
31 Jul
Varhaug
3 : 5
Hinna
27 Jul
Haugesund 2
2 : 2
Varhaug
28 Jun
Varhaug
2 : 2
Odds BK 2
21 Jun
Stabaek 2
1 : 4
Varhaug
12 Jun
Varhaug
0 : 3
Viking 2
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Stabaek 2

(Away)
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
21 Jun
Stabaek 2
1 : 4
Varhaug
15 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Stabaek 2
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