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Varhaug vs Stabaek 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dalbye T.
39' Event
Madland L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Varhaug and Stabaek 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varhaug
20%
Draws
40%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 14%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Stabaek 2
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Stabaek 2
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalbye T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madland L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Stabaek 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 31 / 100
Stabaek 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Stabaek 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Varhaug found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Solid form: Varhaug remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Stabaek 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
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Stabaek 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Stabaek 2
4 : 1
Haugesund 2
27 Sept
Stabaek 2
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
21 Sept
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Stabaek 2
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
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