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Varhaug vs Vindbjart

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Ringsbu S.

AI Match Summary

Vindbjart in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vindbjart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varhaug
15%
Draws
49%
Vindbjart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart have won more games recently than Varhaug.
  • Vindbjart are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Vindbjart
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.7 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Vindbjart
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Ringsbu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 10 / 100
Vindbjart 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Vindbjart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vindbjart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varhaug's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Vindbjart has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Varhaug stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Vindbjart
2.13 Goals Scored 3.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
31 Jul
Varhaug
3 : 5
Hinna
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Vindbjart

(Away)
30 Aug
Haugesund 2
0 : 4
Vindbjart
22 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
03 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Odds BK 2
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