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Naestved IF

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varnamo play Naestved IF in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Varnamo averaged 1.32 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Naestved IF averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Varnamo won 3, Naestved IF won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 3-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Varnamo and 1.81 for Naestved IF. This points to a Naestved IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Varnamo

29%

Draws

44%

Naestved IF

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Varnamo picked up more points recently compared to Naestved IF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Varnamo Clean Sheet 11%

Naestved IF Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varnamo	Naestved IF
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	5	8
Draws	6	10
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.32	1.26
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Varnamo vs Naestved IF

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-1

Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Naestved IF vs Varnamo

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-2

Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Varnamo vs Naestved IF

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-2

Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Naestved IF vs Varnamo

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3-2

Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Varnamo vs Naestved IF

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 27 / 100

Naestved IF 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varnamo Naestved IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naestved IF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Varnamo attacking → ← attacking Naestved IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Naestved IF let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Naestved IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 34

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00