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Varnamo vs Norrby

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Nedzibovic A.
44'
Antonsson M.
44'
Svendsen V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Varnamo
17%
Draws
70%
Norrby
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Norrby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Norrby's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Norrby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Norrby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 14%
Norrby Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Norrby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Norrby
2:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Varnamo vs Norrby
1:2
Jun 19, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Varnamo
2:0
Mar 7, 2020 Club Friendly
Norrby vs Varnamo
6:1
Sep 24, 2018 Superettan
Norrby vs Varnamo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rapp J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Liimatainen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bichis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 15 / 100
Norrby 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Norrby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Varnamo scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Away concern: Norrby has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Norrby
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
16 Jun
Varnamo
0 : 1
Helsingborg
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Norrby

(Away)
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
28 Jun
Norrkoping
0 : 1
Norrby
21 Jun
Norrby
0 : 0
Nordic United
14 Jun
Norrby
0 : 2
Oddevold
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Norrby1538419:2117
13Brage1544728:2916
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo15311117:3410
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)