Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Bjornstrom A.
33'
Robertsson L.
59'
Sub
Wahlstrom F. In: Yasin A.
Out: Wahlstrom F.

AI Match Summary

Orebro in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Varnamo
22%
Draws
60%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Orebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Orebro's recent run of results.
  • Orebro are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orebro here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%
Orebro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Orebro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:3
Aug 2, 2013 Superettan
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:5
Apr 8, 2013 Superettan
Orebro vs Varnamo
2:0
Mar 2, 2013 Svenska Cupen
Orebro vs Varnamo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenberg J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 18 / 100
Orebro 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Orebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Varnamo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Orebro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Orebro

(Away)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)