Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnsdorf vs Liberec B

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Papousek F.
25'
Capieque E.
40'
Michal K.

AI Match Summary

Liberec B in this 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liberec B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Varnsdorf
20%
Draws
23%
Liberec B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varnsdorf lately — more wins on the board than Liberec B.
  • Model gives Varnsdorf a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 19%
Liberec B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Liberec B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.24 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.18 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
1:2
Oct 10, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Liberec B vs Varnsdorf
5:0
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
4:1
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
3:1
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Liberec B Compare

Top Goalscorer Papousek F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filipek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 76 / 100
Liberec B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Liberec B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Liberec B conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Varnsdorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Liberec B
2.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
Page 1 of 6

Liberec B

(Away)
16 Sept
Zapy
2 : 1
Liberec B
11 Sept
Liberec B
2 : 2
Pardubice B
06 Sept
Jablonec B
2 : 0
Liberec B
29 Aug
Liberec B
0 : 4
Teplice B
08 Aug
Velke Hamry
1 : 2
Liberec B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Ceska Lipa 32 29 1 2 86:24 88
2 Zapy 32 23 5 4 72:27 74
3 Banik Most-Sous 32 20 4 8 60:34 64
4 Hradec Kralove B 32 19 4 9 70:47 61
5 Teplice B 32 14 8 10 46:42 50
6 Benatky n. Jiz. 32 12 8 12 59:54 44
7 Pardubice B 32 12 7 13 69:57 43
8 Jablonec B 32 11 6 15 49:62 39
9 Mlada Boleslav B 32 10 8 14 39:50 38
10 Liberec B 32 10 7 15 72:64 37
11 Varnsdorf 32 10 7 15 46:65 37
12 Neratovice 32 9 9 14 44:66 36
13 Brozany 32 8 10 14 38:58 34
14 Velke Hamry 32 7 10 15 45:57 31
15 Usti nad Orlici 32 7 10 15 35:55 31
16 Velvary 32 7 4 21 46:82 25
17 Kolin 32 4 12 16 36:68 24
Promotion - 3. CFL - Play Offs (Main)