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Varnsdorf vs Liberec B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ahile T.
39' Event
Brtinsky S.
46'
Sub
Gavrylyuk N. In: Senko K.
Out: Gavrylyuk N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B game between Varnsdorf and Liberec B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Varnsdorf
35%
Draws
19%
Liberec B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Liberec B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varnsdorf a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 17%
Liberec B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Liberec B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.2 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
1:1
May 10, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
1:2
Oct 10, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Liberec B vs Varnsdorf
5:0
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
4:1
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Liberec B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Liberec B Compare

Top Goalscorer Brtinsky S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 41 / 100
Liberec B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Liberec B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Liberec B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Varnsdorf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Liberec B
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
04 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 1
Liberec B
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
Page 1 of 6

Liberec B

(Away)
04 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 1
Liberec B
26 Sept
Liberec B
0 : 4
Benatky n. Jiz.
20 Sept
Mlada Boleslav B
2 : 1
Liberec B
16 Sept
Zapy
2 : 1
Liberec B
11 Sept
Liberec B
2 : 2
Pardubice B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zapy 9 6 3 0 23:10 21
2 Jablonec B 9 5 3 1 20:7 18
3 Mlada Boleslav B 9 5 2 2 24:10 17
4 Benatky n. Jiz. 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
5 Pardubice B 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
6 Teplice B 9 4 1 4 16:16 13
7 Banik Most-Sous 8 4 0 4 16:9 12
8 Varnsdorf 8 3 3 2 13:13 12
9 Caslav 8 3 2 3 8:14 11
10 Hradec Kralove B 9 2 4 3 6:7 10
11 Horni Redice 7 3 0 4 8:14 9
12 Neratovice 9 2 3 4 8:18 9
13 Brozany 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
14 Chrudim 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
15 Liberec B 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
16 Velke Hamry 9 1 1 7 7:23 4
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)