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Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Croatia Dakovo

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varteks Varazdin (2011) play Croatia Dakovo in the Druga NL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Varteks Varazdin (2011) averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Croatia Dakovo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Varteks Varazdin (2011) won 0, Croatia Dakovo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Varteks Varazdin (2011) and 1.13 for Croatia Dakovo. This points to a Croatia Dakovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
21%
Draws
42%
Croatia Dakovo
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Croatia Dakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Varteks Varazdin (2011) picked up more points recently compared to Croatia Dakovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 21%
Croatia Dakovo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varteks Varazdin (2011) Croatia Dakovo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Druga NL
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Croatia Dakovo
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 Druga NL
Croatia Dakovo vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Croatia Dakovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljulj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varteks Varazdin (2011) 38 / 100
Croatia Dakovo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Croatia Dakovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Croatia Dakovo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Varteks Varazdin (2011) attacking → ← attacking Croatia Dakovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varteks Varazdin (2011) scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Croatia Dakovo let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Varteks Varazdin (2011) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Croatia Dakovo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 25
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Segesta30212758:3365
2Kustosija30178555:2359
3Jadran Luka Ploce30185756:2959
4Mladost Zdralovi30178548:3259
5Uljanik Pula301641053:4452
6Uskok Klis301451148:3647
7Radnik Krizevci30138939:2847
8Solin30129946:4345
9Trnje30871537:4831
10Grobnican307101346:6031
11Varteks Varazdin (2011)30871534:4831
12Bjelovar30781532:4629
13Lucko30851732:4629
14Dugo Selo30781522:4329
15Dragovoljac306101428:4928
16Croatia Dakovo30741930:5625