Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Croatia Dakovo

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ljulj K.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Varteks Varazdin (2011) and Croatia Dakovo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia Dakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
20%
Draws
30%
Croatia Dakovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia Dakovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varteks Varazdin (2011) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia Dakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varteks Varazdin (2011) Croatia Dakovo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Druga NL
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Croatia Dakovo
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 Druga NL
Croatia Dakovo vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

Croatia Dakovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljulj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varteks Varazdin (2011) 85 / 100
Croatia Dakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Croatia Dakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varteks Varazdin (2011) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia Dakovo let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Varteks Varazdin (2011) found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Varteks Varazdin (2011) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varteks Varazdin (2011) VS Croatia Dakovo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Varteks Varazdin (2011)

(Home)
03 Oct
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
NK Koprivnica
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
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Croatia Dakovo

(Away)
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 6
Jadran Luka Ploce
16 May
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 1
Croatia Dakovo
09 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
02 May
Solin
5 : 0
Croatia Dakovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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