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Varzim vs AD Lousada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012
Varzim Logo

Varzim

5 - 0
FT
AD Lousada Logo

AD Lousada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varzim in this Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varzim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Varzim
15%
Draws
34%
AD Lousada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Lousada haven't matched Varzim's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Varzim a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Varzim Clean Sheet 20%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim AD Lousada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Varzim vs AD Lousada
5:0
Nov 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Varzim
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 76 / 100
AD Lousada 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim AD Lousada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varzim scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

AD Lousada has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: AD Lousada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
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AD Lousada

(Away)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varzim 30 20 8 2 48:12 68
2 AD Fafe 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
3 Chaves 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
4 SC Mirandela 30 14 10 6 55:32 52
5 Tirsense 30 11 11 8 39:29 44
6 AD Limianos 30 11 11 8 34:25 44
7 Ribeirao 30 10 14 6 39:31 44
8 CD Ribeira Brava 30 12 6 12 33:37 42
9 Famalicao 30 10 9 11 29:32 39
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 30 10 9 11 43:48 39
11 Vizela 30 9 11 10 40:42 38
12 Maritimo B 30 10 8 12 41:45 38
13 Camacha 30 8 10 12 29:36 34
14 AD Lousada 30 8 8 14 30:45 32
15 Merelinense 30 3 7 20 33:68 16
16 AD Oliveirense 30 1 7 22 14:57 10
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)