Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Varzim

5 - 1

Trofense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Varzim

15%

Draws

34%

Trofense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Varzim lately — more wins on the board than Trofense.
51% — that's where the model lands on Varzim taking it.
Varzim have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Varzim, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Varzim have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Varzim Clean Sheet 68%

Trofense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varzim	Trofense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.2	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Varzim vs Trofense

5:1

Aug 9, 2026 Liga 3

Trofense vs Varzim

0:1

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3

Trofense vs Varzim

0:1

Feb 21, 2026 Liga 3

Varzim vs Trofense

2:0

Dec 20, 2025 Liga 3

Varzim vs Trofense

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 95 / 100

Trofense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varzim Trofense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varzim scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Trofense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Trofense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS Trofense

1.5 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

(Home)

19 Sept

Vitoria Sernache

2 : 1

Varzim

12 Sept

Varzim

1 : 2

SC Vianense

05 Sept

Varzim

0 : 1

Paredes

29 Aug

Varzim

5 : 1

Trofense

22 Aug

Pacos Ferreira

1 : 4

Varzim

Page 1 of 6

Trofense

(Away)

12 Sept

Trofense

1 : 4

Leca

05 Sept

Vitoria Guimaraes B

0 : 0

Trofense

29 Aug

Varzim

5 : 1

Trofense

22 Aug

Trofense

1 : 0

Sao Joao de Ver

15 Aug

SC Vianense

2 : 0

Trofense

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

SC Salgueiros -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense -

Maritimo -

Tondela -

Alverca -

Paredes -

Famalicao -

CF Os Belenenses -

Arouca -

Fazendense -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

Gil Vicente -

AFS -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Sanjoanense -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

Casa Pia -

Louletano -

Rio Ave -

Fatima -

Academico Viseu -

SC Farense -

AD Marco 09 -

Academica -

Amarante FC -

Leiria -

GD Braganca -

Atletico CP -

Vizela -

Chaves -

Os Marialvas -

SC Vianense -

Leixoes -

Penafiel -

Leca -

FC Felgueiras -

AD Fafe -

Olhanense -

Oliveira Hospital -

Lusitania FC -

AD Limianos -

Vitoria Setubal -

Uniao Da Serra -

Florgrade -

Portimonense -

Brito -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Varzim vs Trofense

Portugal

Varzim

Trofense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

Trofense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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