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Vasas vs Budafoki MTE

Hungary Hungary

NB II. 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Girsik A.
29' Event
Urblik J.
35'
Gyurko M.

AI Match Summary

The NB II. 2025/2026 game between Vasas and Budafoki MTE finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vasas
30%
Draws
39%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Budafoki MTE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Vasas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vasas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vasas Clean Sheet 68%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasas Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 NB II.
Vasas vs Budafoki MTE
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 NB II.
Budafoki MTE vs Vasas
0:3
Feb 23, 2025 NB II.
Vasas vs Budafoki MTE
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vasas vs Budafoki MTE
0:0
Aug 12, 2024 NB II.
Budafoki MTE vs Vasas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasas Compare

Top Goalscorer Urblik J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petho B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Budafoki MTE Compare

Top Goalscorer Selyem B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasas 68 / 100
Budafoki MTE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasas Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasas scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Budafoki MTE conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Vasas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasas VS Budafoki MTE
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasas

(Home)
22 Aug
Vasas
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
08 Aug
Vasas
5 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
02 Aug
Ferencvaros
0 : 0
Vasas
26 Jul
Vasas
2 : 2
Gyor
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Budafoki MTE

(Away)
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0
Budafoki MTE
12 Aug
Budafoki MTE
2 : 0
PTE-PEAC
08 Aug
Sarbogard
0 : 1
Budafoki MTE
26 Jul
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Budafoki MTE
17 May
Videoton
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasas 30 20 4 6 59:26 64
2 Honved 30 18 5 7 49:26 59
3 Kecskemeti TE 30 16 3 11 49:39 51
4 Kozarmisleny SE 30 13 9 8 38:40 48
5 Mezokovesd-Zsory 30 13 7 10 37:34 46
6 Csakvari 30 12 10 8 43:37 46
7 BVSC-Zuglo 30 12 5 13 36:30 41
8 Videoton 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
9 Szeged-Csanad GA 30 9 9 12 29:34 36
10 Tiszakecske 30 10 9 11 37:44 35
11 Karcagi 30 9 8 13 29:41 35
12 Ajka 30 10 3 17 23:40 33
13 Soroksar 30 8 9 13 41:45 33
14 Szentlorinc SE 30 7 12 11 35:42 33
15 Budafoki MTE 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
16 Bekescsaba 1912 30 6 10 14 27:42 28
Promotion - NB I. (Main)