Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie A Betano Sao Januário

Vasco

0 - 1

Atletico-MG

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Vitor Hugo

Assist: Bernard

34'

Cauan Barros

58'

Sub

Moreira N. In: David Correa

Out: Moreira N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Vasco and Atletico-MG finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vasco

Draws

90%

Atletico-MG

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG come out ahead of Vasco on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Atletico-MG taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Vasco Clean Sheet 23%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vasco	Atletico-MG
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	8	6
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie A Betano

Vasco vs Atletico-MG

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Betano

Atletico-MG vs Vasco

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

5:0

Aug 10, 2025 Serie A Betano

Vasco vs Atletico-MG

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Dec 4, 2024 Serie A Betano

Vasco vs Atletico-MG

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Oct 19, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil

Vasco vs Atletico-MG

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Hugo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 10 / 100

Atletico-MG 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vasco Atletico-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico-MG conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Vasco scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vasco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Atletico-MG

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	18	12	5	1	30:13	41
2	Flamengo RJ	17	10	4	3	31:16	34
3	Fluminense	18	9	4	5	28:23	31
4	Athletico-PR	18	9	3	6	24:18	30
5	Bragantino	18	9	2	7	25:19	29
6	Bahia	17	7	5	5	25:23	26
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24:24	26
8	Sao Paulo	18	7	4	7	23:20	25
9	Atletico-MG	18	7	3	8	22:23	24
10	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18:19	24
11	Cruzeiro	18	6	6	6	24:28	24
12	Botafogo RJ	17	6	4	7	31:31	22
13	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21:25	22
14	Internacional	18	5	6	7	21:22	21
15	Santos	18	5	6	7	26:29	21
16	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20:23	21
17	Vasco	18	5	5	8	22:29	20
18	Remo	18	4	6	8	21:29	18
19	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18:24	16
20	Chapecoense-SC	17	1	6	10	17:33	9