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Vasco vs Bragantino

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Sao Januário
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco play Bragantino in the Serie A Betano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Bragantino averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco won 1, Bragantino won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Vasco and 1.88 for Bragantino. This points to a Bragantino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vasco
22%
Draws
39%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bragantino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco picked up more points recently compared to Bragantino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Vasco Clean Sheet 10%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Bragantino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bragantino
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Vasco
0:3
Jun 1, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bragantino
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bragantino
2:2
Apr 17, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Vasco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pitta I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 37 / 100
Bragantino 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Bragantino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bragantino or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasco attacking → ← attacking Bragantino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bragantino let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vasco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bragantino lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 42
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339