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Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Acreano 2019 game between Vasco da Gama AC and Independencia Futebol Clube finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independencia Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vasco da Gama AC
6%
Draws
90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independencia Futebol Clube come out ahead of Vasco da Gama AC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Independencia Futebol Clube taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Independencia Futebol Clube have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 16%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:3
Jan 27, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:3
Apr 11, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1
Mar 8, 2019 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Independencia Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Independencia Futebol Clube conceded in 74% of 38 recent games.

Vasco da Gama AC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Independencia Futebol Clube
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco da Gama AC

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
Page 1 of 6

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acreano541012:013
2Independencia Futebol Clube531111:610
3Rio Branco AC530215:89
4SC Humaita52124:77
5Andira51226:105
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez540113:412
2Placido de Castro51225:65
3Nauas EC51133:94
4Sao Francisco FC (AC)51045:173
5Vasco da Gama AC50235:122
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)