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Vasco da Gama AC vs Nauas EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Acreano 2015 game between Vasco da Gama AC and Nauas EC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vasco da Gama AC
30%
Draws
47%
Nauas EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nauas EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vasco da Gama AC a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Acreano 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 17%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Nauas EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.69 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Nauas EC
2:3
Feb 24, 2022 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Nauas EC
1:0
Aug 5, 2021 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Nauas EC
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Vasco da Gama AC
5:0
Mar 23, 2019 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Nauas EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 84 / 100
Nauas EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Nauas EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco da Gama AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nauas EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Nauas EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Nauas EC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco da Gama AC

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
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Nauas EC

(Away)
15 Sept
Andira
7 : 0
Nauas EC
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
02 Sept
Nauas EC
0 : 10
Atletico Acreano
25 Aug
Nauas EC
3 : 2
Andira
19 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 0
Nauas EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acreano 14 11 2 1 36:9 35
2 Rio Branco AC 14 9 3 2 48:12 30
3 Placido de Castro 14 7 2 5 23:19 23
4 Galvez 14 7 2 5 23:20 23
5 AMAX 14 5 4 5 19:21 19
6 Vasco da Gama AC 14 3 2 9 22:35 11
7 Alto Acre 14 3 2 9 18:41 11
8 Nauas EC 14 2 1 11 9:41 7
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2015 (Play Offs)