Sport Picks
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Louletano
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ferreira L.
7'
7'
Ferreira L.
36'
36'
Baixinho A.
AI Match Summary
Louletano in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira haven't matched Louletano's recent run of results.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Louletano taking it.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 10%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | Louletano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 3 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 3.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Louletano
2:5
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2:1
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Louletano
3:2
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Louletano
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare
Top Goalscorer Baixinho A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fouto G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Louletano Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chimaraoke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
Louletano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Louletano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Louletano conceded in 51% of 35 recent games.
Solid form: Vasco da Gama Vidigueira remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira VS Louletano
1 Goals Scored 2
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
(Home) 18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
15 Mar
Malveira
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
01 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 1 Moncarapachense
15 Feb
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 2 Serpa
25 Jan
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1 : 1 Oriental
Page 1 of 3
Louletano
(Away) 20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1 Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1 Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Louletano
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
