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Vasco de Itaberai W vs Abadia W

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco de Itaberai W play Abadia W in the Goiano Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco de Itaberai W averaged 0.86 goals scored and 7.21 conceded. Abadia W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 3.86 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco de Itaberai W won 1, Abadia W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2024 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Vasco de Itaberai W and 4.00 for Abadia W. This points to a Abadia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vasco de Itaberai W
15%
Draws
53%
Abadia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abadia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Vasco de Itaberai W picked up more points recently compared to Abadia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Vasco de Itaberai W Clean Sheet 10%
Abadia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco de Itaberai W Abadia W
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 2 4
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.86
Goals Conceded 7.21 3.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.50 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Goiano Women
Vasco de Itaberai W vs Abadia W
1:6
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano Women
Abadia W vs Vasco de Itaberai W
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco de Itaberai W 31 / 100
Abadia W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco de Itaberai W Abadia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abadia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Abadia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasco de Itaberai W attacking → ← attacking Abadia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco de Itaberai W scored in 36% of their last 14 games.

Abadia W let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Vasco de Itaberai W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Abadia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 12
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
7.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50