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Stadium Background

Vasco U17 vs Bahia U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro U17 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vasco U17
30%
Draws
23%
Bahia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasco U17 lately — more wins on the board than Bahia U17.
  • Model gives Vasco U17 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vasco U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U17 Bahia U17
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Vasco U17 vs Bahia U17
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs Vasco U17
4:5
May 6, 2025 Copa do Brasil U17
Vasco U17 vs Bahia U17
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U17 66 / 100
Bahia U17 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U17 Bahia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahia U17 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vasco U17 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Vasco U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U17 VS Bahia U17
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U17

(Home)
22 Sept
Vasco U17
5 : 0
Santos U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
08 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
4 : 2
Vasco U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
02 Sept
Atletico GO U17
3 : 5
Vasco U17
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Bahia U17

(Away)
22 Sept
Cruzeiro U17
4 : 0
Bahia U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
09 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U17
05 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
0 : 4
Bahia U17
02 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 2
Atletico-MG U17
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 19 14 2 3 56:26 44
2 Corinthians U17 19 12 3 4 58:20 39
3 Bragantino U17 19 12 3 4 55:26 39
4 Fluminense U17 19 11 4 4 35:16 37
5 Cruzeiro U17 19 11 4 4 34:25 37
6 Fortaleza U17 19 10 3 6 29:33 33
7 Flamengo RJ U17 19 9 6 4 37:22 33
8 Atletico-MG U17 19 9 5 5 41:24 32
9 Santos U17 19 9 3 7 35:33 30
10 Sao Paulo U17 19 7 9 3 26:18 30
11 Athletico-PR U17 19 8 5 6 35:31 29
12 Botafogo RJ U17 19 7 4 8 37:43 25
13 Internacional U17 19 7 2 10 22:33 23
14 Vasco U17 19 6 5 8 29:27 23
15 Bahia U17 19 5 6 8 30:33 21
16 America MG U17 19 5 4 10 30:27 19
17 EC Juventude U17 19 4 4 11 18:49 16
18 Vitoria U17 19 3 1 15 19:46 10
19 Gremio U17 19 3 1 15 15:52 10
20 Atletico GO U17 19 1 0 18 16:73 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)