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Vasco U17 vs Gremio U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Brasileiro U17
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AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 game between Vasco U17 and Gremio U17 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vasco U17
15%
Draws
0%
Gremio U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco U17's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Gremio U17 have produced (1.55).
  • Model gives Vasco U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro U17 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U17 Gremio U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Vasco U17 vs Gremio U17
4:0
Jul 8, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Gremio U17 vs Vasco U17
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U17 85 / 100
Gremio U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U17 Gremio U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Gremio U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vasco U17 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U17 VS Gremio U17
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U17

(Home)
30 Sept
Palmeiras U17
5 : 0
Vasco U17
22 Sept
Vasco U17
5 : 0
Santos U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
08 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
4 : 2
Vasco U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
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Gremio U17

(Away)
30 Sept
Gremio U17
0 : 2
Sao Paulo U17
22 Sept
America MG U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
15 Sept
Flamengo RJ U17
3 : 1
Gremio U17
09 Sept
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Palmeiras U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 19 14 2 3 56:26 44
2 Corinthians U17 19 12 3 4 58:20 39
3 Bragantino U17 19 12 3 4 55:26 39
4 Fluminense U17 19 11 4 4 35:16 37
5 Cruzeiro U17 19 11 4 4 34:25 37
6 Fortaleza U17 19 10 3 6 29:33 33
7 Flamengo RJ U17 19 9 6 4 37:22 33
8 Atletico-MG U17 19 9 5 5 41:24 32
9 Santos U17 19 9 3 7 35:33 30
10 Sao Paulo U17 19 7 9 3 26:18 30
11 Athletico-PR U17 19 8 5 6 35:31 29
12 Botafogo RJ U17 19 7 4 8 37:43 25
13 Internacional U17 19 7 2 10 22:33 23
14 Vasco U17 19 6 5 8 29:27 23
15 Bahia U17 19 5 6 8 30:33 21
16 America MG U17 19 5 4 10 30:27 19
17 EC Juventude U17 19 4 4 11 18:49 16
18 Vitoria U17 19 3 1 15 19:46 10
19 Gremio U17 19 3 1 15 15:52 10
20 Atletico GO U17 19 1 0 18 16:73 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)