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Vasco U20 vs Manthiqueira U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 play Manthiqueira U20 in the Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019. Vasco U20 are favorites here. Recently, Vasco U20 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Manthiqueira U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco U20 won 1, Manthiqueira U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2019 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Vasco U20 and 0.88 for Manthiqueira U20. This points to a Vasco U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vasco U20
16%
Draws
24%
Manthiqueira U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco U20 picked up more points recently compared to Manthiqueira U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Manthiqueira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Manthiqueira U20
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 22 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.36

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2019 Copinha
Vasco U20 vs Manthiqueira U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Reis
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Manthiqueira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 59 / 100
Manthiqueira U20 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Manthiqueira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vasco U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasco U20 attacking → ← attacking Manthiqueira U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Manthiqueira U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vasco U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Manthiqueira U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 15
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00