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Vasco U20 vs Resende U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Leo Jaco
33' Event
Lucas Gabriel
35' Event
Ferreira D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Vasco U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
31%
Resende U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Resende U20 on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Vasco U20 taking it.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Resende U20
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
May 10, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Resende U20
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Jaco
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Gabriel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 95 / 100
Resende U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Resende U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Resende U20 conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Vasco U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2
Vasco U20
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 6

Resende U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Botafogo RJ U20 6
Flamengo RJ U20 1
Resende U20 3
Vasco U20 5
Final
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Vasco U20 1