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Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zuccarello L.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Juninho
39' Event
Walace Fernandes

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Vasco U20 and Sampaio Correa FE U20 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Vasco U20
20%
Draws
19%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasco U20 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.06 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.64 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walace Fernandes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petinati M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 95 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Sampaio Correa FE U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Vasco U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
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Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)