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Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zuccarello L.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Juninho
39' Event
Walace Fernandes

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Vasco U20 and Sampaio Correa FE U20 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vasco U20
20%
Draws
38%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasco U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 30 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walace Fernandes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petinati M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 42 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 91% of their last 43 games.

Sampaio Correa FE U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Vasco U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205