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Stadium Background

Vasco vs Barracas Central

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Bruera F.
14'
Tche Tche
16'
Cauan Barros

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vasco
35%
Draws
15%
Barracas Central
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasco lately — more wins on the board than Barracas Central.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vasco taking it.
  • Vasco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Barracas Central Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Barracas Central
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.28 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Barracas Central
3:0
Apr 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Barracas Central vs Vasco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Adson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barracas Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 85 / 100
Barracas Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Barracas Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Barracas Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Vasco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Barracas Central
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Barracas Central

(Away)
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
07 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0
Barracas Central
27 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 1
Barracas Central
23 Aug
Barracas Central
1 : 2
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)