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Stadium Background

Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Cardozo F.
34'
Thiago Mendes
45'
Rojas J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vasco
35%
Draws
20%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vasco taking it.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:0
Apr 27, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Apr 3, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 42 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vasco found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Olimpia Asuncion registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
13 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Aug
Fluminense
1 : 3
Vasco
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
29 Jul
Vasco
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
13 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
08 Aug
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
5 : 0
Rubio Nu
29 Jul
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 3
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 1
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe -
River Plate -
Vasco 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0
Bragantino 0
Atletico-MG 1
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 0
Montevideo City 1
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -