Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Cardozo F.
34'
Thiago Mendes
45'
Rojas J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vasco
30%
Draws
27%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Vasco taking it.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vasco Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
1:4
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:0
May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:0
Apr 27, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 77 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vasco found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Olimpia Asuncion conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Olimpia Asuncion
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
10 Oct
Vasco
0 : 0
Remo
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
11 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -