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Vasco W vs Perolas Negras W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ramos L.
37' Event
Pereira L.
55' Event
Gonzalez L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Vasco W and Perolas Negras W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Vasco W
30%
Draws
14%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vasco W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3.09 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vasco W vs Perolas Negras W
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Carioca Women
Vasco W vs Perolas Negras W
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Perolas Negras W vs Vasco W
0:4
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Vasco W vs Perolas Negras W
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Carioca Women
Vasco W vs Perolas Negras W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Perolas Negras W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco W 95 / 100
Perolas Negras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco W Perolas Negras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco W scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Perolas Negras W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Vasco W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasco W VS Perolas Negras W
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco W

(Home)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
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Perolas Negras W

(Away)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)