Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ayari T.
15'
Filling K.
20'
Cisse I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasteras SK
33%
Draws
27%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AIK lately — more wins on the board than Vasteras SK.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vasteras SK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 14%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK AIK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
3:2
May 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs AIK
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
1:2
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs AIK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Baggesen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Csongvai A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 39 / 100
AIK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Vasteras SK scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vasteras SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS AIK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Halmstad
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
31 May
Vasteras SK
4 : 5
IFK Goteborg
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AIK

(Away)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3AIK1363418:1821
4Hacken1255225:2220
5Djurgarden1161426:1519
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1346317:1418
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1224612:1910
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)