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Vastese vs Avezzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Di Nardo A.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Donatangelo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vastese
15%
Draws
51%
Avezzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avezzano lately — more wins on the board than Vastese.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Avezzano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vastese Clean Sheet 23%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Avezzano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Avezzano
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Vastese
1:1
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Avezzano
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Vastese
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Avezzano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Avezzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Donatangelo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 13 / 100
Avezzano 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Avezzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Avezzano has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vastese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS Avezzano
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Avezzano

(Away)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)